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Rent vs Buy Calculator 🇦🇺

Net Wealth Projection (Updated for 2026 Australian Rules)

First Home Buyer in 2026?

Apply 5% FHG & $0 Stamp Duty defaults.

1. Property & Loan

i Market price of the property you want to buy.
A$
i Percentage of property price you have saved.
%
%

2. Buying Costs

i Transfer duty. $0 if under FHBAS thresholds.
$
i Lenders Mortgage Insurance. $0 if using Govt Guarantee.
$
i Annual body corporate fees. $0 for free-standing houses.
$
%

3. Renting Equivalent

i Cost to rent the exact same property.
$
i Annual return on invested savings (e.g., ETFs).
%

4. Market Timeline

Yrs
%
Calculating…
$0

Buying
i Property Equity: Future property value minus remaining loan minus 2.5% selling costs.

$0

Renting
i Portfolio Value: Upfront cash + monthly cashflow savings invested over time.

$0

Net Wealth Trajectory

Advantage
$0

On this page

  1. What’s actually changed for 2026
  2. The RBA cash rate and today’s property market
  3. The 5% rule: a 10-second sanity check
  4. The true cost of buying, beyond the mortgage
  5. The true cost of renting, beyond the weekly rent
  6. 2026 government schemes that change the maths
  7. Stamp duty by state: 2026 first home buyer thresholds
  8. The negative gearing and CGT shake-up
  9. Renting vs buying: side-by-side comparison
  10. Worked example: a $750,000 property in 2026
  11. Pros and cons of buying vs renting
  12. When renting makes more financial sense
  13. When buying makes more financial sense
  14. Common mistakes with rent vs buy calculators
  15. Expert tips before you decide
  16. Frequently asked questions
  17. Final verdict

The honest answer to “should I rent or buy” changed meaningfully in 2026. A May Federal Budget rewrote the tax rules around negative gearing and capital gains, the First Home Guarantee dropped its income and place caps entirely, and the RBA cash rate sits at a level that makes the maths genuinely close for a lot of Australians. Run your numbers in the Australian Mortgage Calculator above, then use this guide to understand exactly what’s driving the result — and what the calculator can’t see.

What’s Actually Changed for 2026

Quick answer: Three things moved the needle on rent vs buy this year: the First Home Guarantee now has no income cap and no limit on places (from October 2025), the May 2026 Budget abolished negative gearing on established investment properties bought after budget night, and national rents grew close to 6% annually while vacancy sits near record lows — keeping pressure on the “renting is cheaper” side of the equation too.

None of these changes make the decision simpler. They shift it. Buying got more accessible for genuine first home buyers through expanded government guarantees, while it got structurally less attractive for property investors chasing tax deductions on established homes. Renting remains cash-flow friendly month to month, but it’s getting more expensive faster than wages are growing.

The RBA Cash Rate and Today’s Property Market

Quick answer: The RBA cash rate sits at 4.35% (effective 17 June 2026) after three hikes earlier in the year, pushing most variable home loan rates to between roughly 5.89% and 6.82%. The national median dwelling value is around $802,000, the median weekly rent is roughly $700–720, and rental vacancy remains tight nationally at around 1.3%–1.7%.
Metric2026 Figure
RBA cash rate4.35% (effective 17 June 2026)
Typical variable mortgage rate5.89%–6.82%
National median dwelling value~$802,000
National median weekly rent~$700–720
National rental vacancy rate~1.3%–1.7% (well below the 2.5% decade average)
Annual rental growth (national)~5.7%–5.9%
Average gross rental yield~3.5%

The gap between typical mortgage rates (around 6.4% for investors) and gross rental yields (around 3.5%) is a big part of why negative gearing existed as a strategy in the first place — investors were often running at a loss on cash flow, banking on the tax deduction and capital growth to make it worthwhile. That equation is exactly what the 2026 Budget reforms target, which we cover in detail further down. Use the Australian Mortgage Calculator to see how today’s rates translate into an actual monthly repayment for your target property price.

The 5% Rule: A 10-Second Sanity Check

Quick answer: Multiply the property’s purchase price by 5%, then divide by 12. If the result is higher than the monthly rent for a comparable property, renting is likely cheaper right now. This 5% figure bundles a rough estimate of maintenance (1%), council rates and insurance (1%), and the opportunity cost of your deposit sitting in the property instead of earning returns elsewhere (3%).

It’s a rule of thumb, not a verdict — it ignores mortgage interest, capital growth, and tax effects entirely. But it’s a fast way to tell whether a full comparison is even worth running for a specific property.

The True Cost of Buying, Beyond the Mortgage

The mortgage repayment is the number everyone focuses on, but it’s rarely the number that decides the comparison. These are the costs a rent vs buy calculator needs to account for:

  • Stamp duty (transfer duty) — often the single largest upfront cost, ranging from $0 (under first home buyer concessions) to tens of thousands of dollars.
  • Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) — typically required with a deposit under 20%, unless you qualify for a government guarantee scheme (see below).
  • Conveyancing and legal fees — usually $1,000–$3,000.
  • Building and pest inspections — typically $400–$800.
  • Council rates, water rates, and strata/body corporate fees — ongoing, and easy to underestimate.
  • Home and contents insurance — a genuine ongoing cost renters largely avoid on the building itself.
  • Maintenance and repairs — commonly estimated at around 1% of the property’s value per year.
  • Land tax — applies to investors and, in some states, owner-occupiers above certain land value thresholds.

ASIC’s MoneySmart has a detailed walk-through of the full buying-a-house process, including state-by-state stamp duty calculators, if you want a second, independent source alongside the numbers here.

The deposit’s opportunity cost is the most commonly missed factor. Money tied up in a deposit and equity isn’t earning returns elsewhere — in shares, in a high-interest savings account, or in super. A genuinely fair comparison credits renting with the return that deposit could have earned if invested instead.

The True Cost of Renting, Beyond the Weekly Rent

Renting looks simpler, but it isn’t free of extra costs either:

  • Contents insurance — still needed, even though building insurance sits with the landlord.
  • Bond — typically four weeks’ rent, tied up (though usually returned) for the tenancy’s duration.
  • Rent increases — with national rents rising close to 6% annually and vacancy near record lows in 2026, renters have far less negotiating power at lease renewal than they did five years ago.
  • Moving costs — more frequent than for owners, since fixed-term leases and landlord sale decisions can force a move.
  • No forced equity building — every dollar of rent goes to the landlord permanently, with no asset accumulation, though this is offset if the renter actively invests the difference.

Weigh these against your city’s actual living costs using the Cost of Living Calculator Australia, which compares Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide.

2026 Government Schemes That Change the Maths

First Home Guarantee (FHBG)

Quick answer: Since 1 October 2025, the First Home Guarantee has no income cap and no limit on places. Eligible first home buyers can purchase with just a 5% deposit and avoid Lenders Mortgage Insurance entirely, with the government guaranteeing up to 15% of the loan. Property price caps were raised substantially — for example, Sydney’s cap rose to around $1.5 million.

This is arguably the single biggest change to the rent-vs-buy equation for first home buyers in 2026. LMI alone can cost $10,000–$35,000 on a low-deposit loan, so removing it changes how much deposit you genuinely need to save before buying becomes realistic. Check your eligibility on the official Australian Government First Home Buyers site, and see MoneySmart’s guide to ways to buy a home sooner for how it compares with the other schemes below.

Help to Buy

The federal shared-equity scheme allows the Commonwealth to take an equity stake in your property (up to 30% for an existing home, up to 40% for a new build), reducing the size of the loan you need to service. This lowers monthly repayments but means you share any capital gain with the government proportionally when you sell or exit the scheme.

First Home Super Saver Scheme (FHSSS)

Lets first home buyers make voluntary contributions into superannuation and later withdraw them, plus deemed earnings, to help fund a deposit — taking advantage of super’s generally lower tax rate on contributions compared to earning and saving the same money outside super. Model how extra contributions affect your balance with the Superannuation Calculator Australia.

Time-sensitive: Queensland’s $30,000 First Home Owner Grant for new homes required contracts signed by 30 June 2026 — that deadline has now passed, and the grant is expected to revert to $15,000 for contracts signed afterward. Similarly, Tasmania’s temporary stamp duty exemption for established homes (up to $750,000) expired 30 June 2026. Always confirm current thresholds with your state revenue office before relying on a specific figure.

Stamp Duty by State: 2026 First Home Buyer Thresholds

StateFull Exemption ThresholdConcession CeilingNotes
NSW$800,000$1,000,000Applies to new and established homes; vacant land exemption to $350,000. See Revenue NSW
VIC$600,000$750,000Off-the-plan concession (all buyers) extended to 20 October 2026
QLDUncapped for new homes/vacant landConcessional rate applies to established homesZero duty on new homes since 1 May 2025
WA$430,000$530,000Regional thresholds may differ
SAUncapped for new homes onlyN/AZero duty on new homes since 15 June 2024; established homes pay standard duty
TASN/A (concession expired)N/ATemporary $750,000 exemption for established homes ended 30 June 2026
NTNo dedicated concessionN/A$50,000 HomeGrown Territory grant instead
Always verify against your state revenue office before budgeting around a specific threshold — concessions like Victoria’s off-the-plan deduction and Tasmania’s temporary exemption have hard expiry dates, and Queensland’s FHOG figure is scheduled to step down now that its 30 June 2026 deadline has passed.

The Negative Gearing and CGT Shake-Up

Quick answer: The May 2026 Federal Budget’s tax reforms are now law (Royal Assent 26 June 2026). From 1 July 2027, negative gearing will no longer be available on established residential properties purchased after 7:30pm (AEST) on 12 May 2026 — investors won’t be able to offset rental losses against salary income on those properties. The 50% CGT discount is also being replaced with cost base indexation plus a 30% minimum tax on capital gains from 1 July 2027.

This matters for rent vs buy in two ways. First, if you’re weighing up buying an investment property rather than a home to live in, the tax advantage of an established property just got significantly weaker — new builds are exempt and retain both negative gearing and the choice between the old 50% discount or the new indexation method. Second, some analysts expect this to gradually cool investor demand for established homes, which could ease price pressure in that segment over time — though it’s genuinely too early to say by how much. The official explainer is on the Budget 2026–27 tax reform page, and the ATO has published implementation guidance on negative gearing and CGT reform.

What’s grandfathered: Properties already owned, or under contract, before 7:30pm on 12 May 2026 keep access to negative gearing under the old rules. The changes only bite on established properties purchased after that point in time, with the loss of negative gearing itself not taking effect until 1 July 2027.

Renting vs Buying: Side-by-Side Comparison

FactorRentingBuying
Upfront costBond (~4 weeks’ rent) + moving costsDeposit, stamp duty, LMI (if applicable), legal fees
Monthly flexibilityHigh — can relocate at lease endLow — selling takes time and costs money
Exposure to rate risesNone directly (though rents can rise)Direct, if on a variable rate
Equity buildingNoneYes, as the loan is paid down and if the property appreciates
Maintenance responsibilityLandlord’sYours
Capital gains tax exposureNoneExempt on your main residence; applies to investment properties
2026 government supportLimited (state-based rental assistance only)First Home Guarantee, Help to Buy, FHSSS, state stamp duty concessions

Worked Example: A $750,000 Property in 2026

Consider a first home buyer eligible for the First Home Guarantee, comparing a $750,000 established home in NSW against renting an equivalent property at the national median of roughly $710/week.

Buying scenario

  • 5% deposit: $37,500 (no LMI, thanks to the First Home Guarantee)
  • Stamp duty: $0 (under NSW’s $800,000 full exemption threshold)
  • Loan amount: $712,500 at an indicative 6.0% variable rate over 30 years
  • Approximate monthly repayment: around $4,270
  • Plus council rates, insurance, and maintenance: roughly $500–$700/month

Renting scenario

  • Weekly rent: ~$710 (~$3,080/month)
  • Contents insurance: ~$25/month
  • The $37,500 deposit (plus the stamp duty saving) invested elsewhere, earning a conservative 5% return: adds a further opportunity-cost gap in the renter’s favour

Plug your own numbers into the Australian Mortgage Calculator to see the exact monthly repayment, comparison rate and LMI position for a property at your own price point.

What this shows: On pure monthly cash flow, renting is cheaper in this example by roughly $1,700–$1,900 a month. The case for buying instead rests on equity accumulation and potential capital growth over the years ahead — which is genuinely uncertain and shouldn’t be assumed, especially with several capital cities recording price declines through mid-2026. This is exactly why the calculator above asks for your expected holding period and growth assumptions rather than giving a single fixed answer.

Pros and Cons of Buying vs Renting

Buying: Pros

  • Builds equity over time instead of paying a landlord
  • Main residence is exempt from capital gains tax
  • Stability — no lease renewals or forced moves
  • 2026 schemes (First Home Guarantee, Help to Buy) lower the entry barrier significantly
  • Fixed-rate loans offer repayment certainty for a period

Buying: Cons

  • Large upfront costs (deposit, stamp duty, LMI if applicable)
  • Directly exposed to interest rate movements on variable loans
  • Maintenance, insurance, and rates are ongoing and yours alone
  • Selling costs (agent fees, marketing) erode short-term gains
  • Capital growth isn’t guaranteed — several markets fell through mid-2026

Renting: Pros

  • Lower upfront cost and far greater flexibility to relocate
  • No maintenance, insurance (on the building), or rates responsibility
  • Freed-up capital can be invested elsewhere
  • No exposure to property value declines

Renting: Cons

  • No equity built — rent paid is gone permanently
  • Rents rose close to 6% annually through 2026, often outpacing wage growth
  • Vacancy remains historically tight, weakening a tenant’s negotiating position
  • No control over lease non-renewal if a landlord decides to sell

When Renting Makes More Financial Sense

  • You expect to move within the next 3–5 years, since buying and selling costs take time to recoup.
  • Your deposit would require years of extra saving beyond what a scheme like the First Home Guarantee can bridge.
  • You’d rather invest the difference between rent and a mortgage repayment in growth assets like shares or super, and are disciplined enough to actually do it.
  • You’re in a market where rental yields are low relative to purchase price, meaning the 5% rule points clearly toward renting.

When Buying Makes More Financial Sense

  • You plan to stay put for 7+ years, giving equity growth and amortisation time to outweigh transaction costs.
  • You qualify for the First Home Guarantee or a state stamp duty exemption, materially lowering your upfront cost.
  • Your local rental market has tight vacancy and fast-rising rents, making the “cost of waiting” to buy genuinely high.
  • You value the certainty of a fixed-rate mortgage over ongoing exposure to annual rent increases.

Common Mistakes With Rent vs Buy Calculators

  • Ignoring the deposit’s opportunity cost. Comparing raw mortgage repayments to rent, without crediting renting for what the deposit could earn invested elsewhere, systematically favours buying.
  • Assuming constant capital growth. Several Australian capital cities recorded month-on-month price declines through mid-2026 — growth assumptions should be conservative, not extrapolated from the last five years.
  • Forgetting selling costs. Agent commission and marketing can total 2–3% of the sale price, a meaningful drag on short-holding-period comparisons.
  • Using outdated stamp duty thresholds. Several states changed concessions or let temporary measures expire in 2026 — always check the current figure for your state.
  • Overlooking the new negative gearing rules when the comparison is actually about buying to invest rather than buying to live in.

Expert Tips Before You Decide

Run the numbers at your actual rate, not the advertised one. With variable rates spanning roughly 5.89%–6.82% in 2026, a 1-percentage-point difference in your quoted rate can shift the rent-vs-buy outcome substantially over a 30-year loan. Test different rates in the Australian Mortgage Calculator.
Check scheme eligibility before ruling out buying. The removal of income caps on the First Home Guarantee in October 2025 means many people who assumed they didn’t qualify now do — confirm on firsthomebuyers.gov.au.
Model at least two holding periods. A 5-year comparison and a 10-year comparison can point in opposite directions — don’t rely on a single scenario.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is it better to rent or buy in Australia in 2026?

It depends heavily on your expected holding period, local rental yield, and whether you qualify for schemes like the First Home Guarantee. As a rough guide, if you plan to stay 7+ years and qualify for a low-deposit, no-LMI scheme, buying often wins. If you expect to move within 3–5 years, renting is usually cheaper once transaction costs and opportunity cost are included.

How much deposit do I need to buy a house in Australia in 2026?

Under the First Home Guarantee, eligible first home buyers can purchase with as little as a 5% deposit and avoid Lenders Mortgage Insurance entirely, since the government guarantees up to 15% of the loan. Outside the scheme, a deposit under 20% typically requires LMI.

Does negative gearing still work in Australia in 2026?

Yes, for now, and for new builds indefinitely. But from 1 July 2027, negative gearing will no longer be available on established residential properties bought after 7:30pm (AEST) on 12 May 2026. Properties bought before that time, or new builds, are unaffected.

What is the 5% rule for rent vs buy?

Multiply the property’s price by 5% and divide by 12 to get a rough monthly cost of ownership. If that figure is higher than the equivalent monthly rent, renting is likely the cheaper option for that specific property right now.

How much has rent gone up in Australia?

National rents grew by roughly 5.7%–5.9% annually through 2026, with vacancy rates sitting near record lows of around 1.3%–1.7%. Over the past five years, rents nationally have risen by more than 40%.

What is the First Home Guarantee scheme?

A federal government scheme letting eligible first home buyers purchase with a 5% deposit and no Lenders Mortgage Insurance, with the government guaranteeing up to 15% of the loan. Since October 2025, it has no income cap and no limit on the number of places available.

Is stamp duty different for first home buyers?

Yes, every state and territory except the Northern Territory offers some form of stamp duty exemption or concession for eligible first home buyers, with thresholds ranging from around $430,000 (WA) to $800,000 (NSW) for a full exemption. Check the table above and confirm the current figure with your state revenue office, since several thresholds changed in 2026.

Final Verdict

There’s no single right answer for 2026 — the honest verdict is that the gap between renting and buying narrowed for eligible first home buyers thanks to the expanded First Home Guarantee, while it widened against established-property investors because of the negative gearing changes. Run the calculator above with your actual numbers, model more than one holding period, and don’t skip the opportunity cost of your deposit — it’s the factor that most rent vs buy comparisons get wrong.

Conclusion

Rent vs buy isn’t a static formula in Australia right now — it’s shifting under genuinely significant 2026 policy changes on both sides of the ledger. Whichever way your numbers land, revisit the comparison whenever your circumstances change, when you’re due for a lease renewal, or when the RBA’s next cash rate decision lands, since even a small rate move can tip a close decision.

More Australian financial tools on Sitnit

  • Australian Financial Calculators — Complete Hub
  • Australian Mortgage Calculator 2025–26
  • ATO Income Tax Calculator
  • Australia Salary After Tax Calculator
  • Superannuation Calculator Australia
  • Cost of Living Calculator Australia

This article reflects the RBA cash rate as at 17 June 2026, the Treasury Laws Amendment (Tax Reform No. 1) Bill 2026 (Royal Assent 26 June 2026), First Home Guarantee settings effective from 1 October 2025, and state stamp duty thresholds current as of mid-2026. Figures are provided for general guidance only and don’t constitute financial or tax advice — for your specific situation, consult a licensed mortgage broker, financial adviser, or your state revenue office. Sources: RBA, Australian Government First Home Buyers, Budget 2026–27, Revenue NSW.

Shivam Avatar

Shivam — Software Engineer, Sitnit.com

Builds and maintains Sitnit.com’s calculators, checked against the RBA, Australian Treasury, and state revenue offices rather than aggregator sites.

All articles by Shivam →

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